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Fund focus: German property recovery out of kilter

Iain Keys, manager of London & Capital's German real estate fund, claims the German property market is unusual enough to warrant a fund of its own.
In particular, he believes the German economy is set to outperform its neighbours, so benefiting its property market.

We feel that Germany is out of kilter with the rest of Europe. It's so attractive because its long-term prospects are much stronger than in other countries," Mr Keys says.

"All the fundamentals are sound and there is fantastic growth potential, greater than in other countries.

"As the economy recovers and there is more disposable income and more consumer spending, the value of the property and retail market will likely rise and improve returns."

Furthermore, the Hartz IV labour market reforms introduced a few years ago are seen as having helped boost employment, further bolstering property prices.

Source: FT

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Why the smart money is on Germany's cheap buy-to-lets

The former East Berlin now has a thriving buy-to-let market

For the past decade, British property-investors have ranged over Europe, searching out the latest property hotspots. Many have poured money into countries they could not locate on the map if a gun was held to their wallet.

But nobody even looked at Germany. Poor economic performance combined with the staggering cost of bringing the former communist East in from the cold held back the property market and kept yields down.

But, just as growth in the current favourites such as the Baltic states and Bulgaria may be levelling off, there are signs that Germany might be on the up at long last.

Liam Bailey, the head of research at Knight Frank, says: "Too many people look to invest in the top growth location like Latvia, assuming that high growth will continue. It might be a more interesting and perhaps rewarding strategy to look at the bottom of the table and think which of these countries will see the next upturn.

"We think investors could do well to look behind the headline figure and look more closely at some of the German sub-markets."

Most of these sub-markets are in the old East, in cities such as Leipzig or Dresden and, especially, Berlin, which is re-establishing its position as a major European capital.

"The burgeoning change in the psyche of the German population from lifelong rental into property-ownership presents considerable opportunity for investors," he says. "Growth is starting in cities such as Berlin, where, incredibly, just 13 per cent of the population own their own homes compared to 43 per cent in Germany as a whole, and 66 per cent in the UK."

British investors are also getting interested in the bottom end of the market in the former East Germany, according to the auctioneer Mark Ronaldson of Wilmotts, who will put six assorted properties under the hammer in London. "The market is like the UK in the late 1990s, with institutional landowners selling on a market without enough buyers to take up the slack," he says.

Source: The Independant

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